Special Topic China Stocks

Chinese Central Bank Follows the "Big Role Model" 

After the Chinese indices were in a downtrend for a long time, the Chinese dragon has awakened with a "bang." The interest rate cut and various investment programs by the Chinese central bank and government organizations for real estate and stocks are reminiscent of Alan Greenspan, who started to officially intervene in the financial markets after Lehman.In my view, the Chinese are not dogmatic and are quite willing to import successful models. The use of one's currency and printing money to strengthen the country is more than common in the West, so why not in China? I consider this trend reversal to be sustainable, even if I expect a certain pullback after this impulsive breakout. I'm not alone in this view, as this article about a US hedge fund manager also indicates: https://lnkd.in/dwsf9ravDespite the euphoria, it’s important to note that political risks from tensions between China and the USA still exist. Therefore, my position in Chinese stocks will never exceed the 10% mark of my portfolio unless it’s driven by price gains. The chart shows that investors have followed this breakout, investing in major Chinese ETFs (such as the Krane Internet Stocks ETF). Among them are likely some hedge funds that were caught off guard and now have to cover their short positions.My focus is on large Chinese companies and European firms with significant stakes in Chinese companies. My scenario is that the second gap will close, offering another buying opportunity. The first gap, in my view, will remain open as a "runaway gap."